Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 11:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 11:06:00 P.M. to 08/10/2026, 11:07:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
2% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 386.51
Unexplained QUAI: 24,455.02
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
24,841.53 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564 • 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 24842 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564 • 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 11:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
Net sender
Unknown type
194.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Net receiver
Unknown type
194.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
Net sender
Unknown type
162.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
162.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
20.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
24,811.54 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:05:41 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
24,841.53 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:06:52 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate28 tx
26,773.36 QUAI • 41 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:04:29 P.M.
+2 min
9 tx
1,456.34 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:08:02 P.M.
-3 min
60 tx
3,683.49 QUAI • 74 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:03:18 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
53.1 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:09:13 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
12,715.46 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:02:05 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:10:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
194.92 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 11:06:56 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
194.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 11:06:56 P.M.
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Tx: 0x00080021a47cd417c2b1a30b760cf97ec0c0e286cca5a6f76978841fce92cf13
162.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 11:06:56 P.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003000633194e43f1109bda470be99ea8850aa3fc6417c0ae354ebed65b80335
8.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 11:06:16 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0057000cd04a16b19e0fe62fda87fd3c5b09c4ff3e05ea649bb5ad99799a2d13
20.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 11:06:00 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Tx: 0x005600760d873152059e48803279932269a33de8be35531e79590bb989dc5bce