Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 9:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 9:11:00 P.M. to 08/10/2026, 9:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 521.78
Unexplained QUAI: 0.09
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
60x previous minute
5.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
521.87 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 522 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 9:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
521.78 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
Net sender
Unknown type
206.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
111.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
Net sender
Unknown type
103.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
Net sender
Unknown type
99.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 521.78 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
521.87 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/10/2026, 9:11:22 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
8.64 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/10/2026, 9:10:11 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
526.75 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/10/2026, 9:09:01 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
99.9 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/10/2026, 9:12:33 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
143.46 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/10/2026, 9:07:50 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/10/2026, 9:13:44 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate31 tx
1,843.48 QUAI • 47 addresses
08/10/2026, 9:06:40 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
14.22 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/10/2026, 9:14:54 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
206.85 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 9:11:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
99.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 9:11:21 P.M.
From: 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0054006c13f031450e63c9a51919c86e84c89663cf0913a41fff8e810dd663bb
111.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 9:11:01 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00630044344805995162052f899a3847abc47ba8bedaca238281679d5414ad1a
103.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 9:11:01 P.M.
From: 0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0001006cc5db506327d9f29f620be939b5295e50170e2b04255463e1cad0f53e
206.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 9:11:01 P.M.
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0013007588d13e6ba601b626521fc27796ff05dd9187e6e5e84c943385a98e8d