Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 9:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 9:09:00 P.M. to 08/10/2026, 9:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
2% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8.64
Unexplained QUAI: 518.11
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 77% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
3.7x previous minute
61x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
526.75 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001467366abd35Be692Dd7B8cFD6A80d092C5ae • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 527 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001467366abd35Be692Dd7B8cFD6A80d092C5ae • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A -> 0x00126644f5284eCeEfbd4601D7d13607169b2372 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 9:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001467366abd35Be692Dd7B8cFD6A80d092C5ae
Net sender
Unknown type
6.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
6.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
Net sender
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00126644f5284eCeEfbd4601D7d13607169b2372
Net receiver
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A → 0x00126644f5284eCeEfbd4601D7d13607169b2372
2 repeated flows • 2 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
526.75 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/10/2026, 9:09:01 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
143.46 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/10/2026, 9:07:50 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
8.64 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/10/2026, 9:10:11 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate31 tx
1,843.48 QUAI • 47 addresses
08/10/2026, 9:06:40 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
521.87 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/10/2026, 9:11:22 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
84.64 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/10/2026, 9:05:27 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
99.9 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/10/2026, 9:12:33 P.M.
-5 min
50 tx
1,279.37 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/10/2026, 9:04:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
6.64 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 9:09:06 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0001467366abd35Be692Dd7B8cFD6A80d092C5ae
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 9:09:46 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x00126644f5284eCeEfbd4601D7d13607169b2372
Tx: 0x0035004c10338fe1d9915fa70ba1e772be7c0a7337e061a5fd9328dc1642a556
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 9:09:34 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x00126644f5284eCeEfbd4601D7d13607169b2372
Tx: 0x00410054e4e6e4e8c78a558f03f02809bc4f07b612b288de46f241bb093f2674
6.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 9:09:06 P.M.
From: 0x0001467366abd35Be692Dd7B8cFD6A80d092C5ae
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x003100393047bbd913ea0f1360116b7e76aee4b93b87720aee952f37f1607ae8