Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 3:26:00 P.M. to 08/10/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
42% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,636.34
Unexplained QUAI: 6,472.83
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 9% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.5x previous minute
8.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
23
Observable rows
16
69.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
32
Asset volume
11,109.17 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 11109 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC.
0x0064cFEAc966A6C00E227209a50CE076DfBcCE7A -> 0x0075438f84e17136533D75dFc8918A588Fed0e9B (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 16 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (58% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 16 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (42%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,516.34 QUAI across 12 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
Net sender
Unknown type
410.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000bac590bF29eF380733C864145397f54b227E6
Net sender
Unknown type
404.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000A33544feAEDCFB71a122927a5Fe3D2B7E8B87
Net sender
Unknown type
388.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0069422d4C3e3Ed00D3AFb2A0A8D6621DA951708
Net sender
Unknown type
383.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0064cFEAc966A6C00E227209a50CE076DfBcCE7A → 0x0075438f84e17136533D75dFc8918A588Fed0e9B
2 repeated flows • 20 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,516.34 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
23 tx
11,109.17 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:26:21 P.M.
-1 min
35 tx
20,932.07 QUAI • 46 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:25:08 P.M.
-2 min
29 tx
30,992.23 QUAI • 43 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:23:56 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
1,343.69 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:27:34 P.M.
-3 min
17 tx
170,319.64 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:22:43 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:28:44 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate3 tx
257,959.18 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:21:33 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
3,646.02 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:29:55 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
410.6 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
16 transactions
364.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:26:37 P.M.
From: 0x0000b63F3E349Da2F7A30048A452f8A4278673D9
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0007007c2f7b6770d118db9706a9fa20498e626183f4255a35972fa9fb8d54a0
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:26:37 P.M.
From: 0x0064cFEAc966A6C00E227209a50CE076DfBcCE7A
To: 0x0075438f84e17136533D75dFc8918A588Fed0e9B
Tx: 0x002500087e78c5d49c1062bc2a151f6bbc818a9af4f1b6f02964714eb04a5121
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:26:37 P.M.
From: 0x0064cFEAc966A6C00E227209a50CE076DfBcCE7A
To: 0x0075438f84e17136533D75dFc8918A588Fed0e9B
Tx: 0x002e0050245714dc22e83d52d9f8c9c7531b7fd8d463ae447b74e830762e0da8
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:26:37 P.M.
From: 0x0064cFEAc966A6C00E227209a50CE076DfBcCE7A
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x004f002a845817073beb8397d59466a05140fc4b655288f371e7385531070edd
379.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:26:22 P.M.
From: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0005005577c3f2ff7475db29520e2684a5f193c0e0edc8623b1b35eb7ee3907c
380.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:26:22 P.M.
From: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0077005f43ce4530017a1bcccabe22a498a4e5c57aaf5b6dd022fe582212fb94
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:26:22 P.M.
From: 0x0064cFEAc966A6C00E227209a50CE076DfBcCE7A
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0052004853796ded38cb52bebd499addf2a721196a158b9a68e040269ff75c8b
379.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:26:07 P.M.
From: 0x001D178A66d7EbC378401ea4a3d37B0ec6AC4CEf
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e005a640d003e89af4cdeb5b95c4b11c7ace868cf5be172f8351c2ef4e401
358.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:26:07 P.M.
From: 0x002903dF619f76DF8f0c21B0EBC73725D0555C11
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00060064766e796c291abc2128ea44d09ec16678dcd6c08122a3b5bfae9cfd00
404.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
From: 0x000bac590bF29eF380733C864145397f54b227E6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0064005654fa49d515d88e3b0b0e29533058d02510438efc2b4509919a30a6cf
346.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
From: 0x002dCa131f8f308A502e1C5F2bae01Ec46920604
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0032006c2d1edd5c0496ad1a843dc3a44e0d32a7dfd110f0872f172e39b2a873
373.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
From: 0x004077c3AA1C17eFF24ae846B72c3D9C83927134
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b003bfeee18b9028097a3ca01a7a67d4375aec616e1541770ba78c164a4fe
383.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
From: 0x0069422d4C3e3Ed00D3AFb2A0A8D6621DA951708
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006300408dbc7703289a31779ec7b97fd5e12643f42c29f9c123ba551c94cc21
410.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004900233d4a6809f002fcafc00a72d43679c794a248048fc610a187f09370c8
346.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
From: 0x0063D8375De6d5b0B20292391AA1e7654879eEFe
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0017004e12d6c36021f7f003f587b57d3c25f6231164fd99123f97762a2f44de
388.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
From: 0x000A33544feAEDCFB71a122927a5Fe3D2B7E8B87
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e0007398eeb03abf89a3210104ded3d9b460760a047f4251a652a19fcd943