Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 3:23:00 P.M. to 08/10/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
30% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,337.55
Unexplained QUAI: 21,654.69
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 14% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
29
Observable rows
14
48.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
43
Asset volume
30,992.23 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00369F48Dc4F9f35326c761EEe01290fBaDF59D0.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 30992 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00369F48Dc4F9f35326c761EEe01290fBaDF59D0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (70% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (30%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
9,143.15 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00369F48Dc4F9f35326c761EEe01290fBaDF59D0
Net sender
Unknown type
1,313.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Net sender
Unknown type
1,304.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c6B8b7aBEf0C66a7d38BC87444732e03c5394
Net sender
Unknown type
1,200.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
Net sender
Unknown type
1,091.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 9,143.15 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
17 tx
170,319.64 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:22:43 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate3 tx
257,959.18 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:21:33 P.M.
+1 min
29 tx
30,992.23 QUAI • 43 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:23:56 P.M.
+2 min
35 tx
20,932.07 QUAI • 46 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:25:08 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:20:22 P.M.
+3 min
23 tx
11,109.17 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:26:21 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,340.72 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:19:10 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:17:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,313.4 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:23:29 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00369F48Dc4F9f35326c761EEe01290fBaDF59D0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
14 transactions
1,037.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:23:29 P.M.
From: 0x005B4D6b76Bd3e96cE24aeaa63D2cbC443F4195b
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00380026d1974f3c42bb40cffcb8d4b1844b6179dcbdda9ed81059102b2044a7
1,200.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:23:29 P.M.
From: 0x006c6B8b7aBEf0C66a7d38BC87444732e03c5394
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0009006e1886b3c00eb25f356ee8a312c1a22625a2d84ebee706c6a1f9d55a8e
1,064.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:23:29 P.M.
From: 0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00160066cfcf95e09b738fb76380675c9d278cf116f2d80df4ca435384778a67
1,088.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:23:29 P.M.
From: 0x005Ddb9A9bf043C6F85346801C9376Eb6FB7D83d
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d0068d84c563035ef81316438082cc265b9dd55de9492dedffa2992acd58c
1,091.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:23:29 P.M.
From: 0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0055003e9dce28409154d1d5c65b72f3508e594a8866a8afd2636ff9f8efa1e5
1,043.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:23:29 P.M.
From: 0x000A5031C66558596a0090FFAa325d3BdD38C8E2
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00730077224abbe4bd72ce1314d5b8b0203be0b0fd74bad459623181a67df67b
1,313.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:23:29 P.M.
From: 0x00369F48Dc4F9f35326c761EEe01290fBaDF59D0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0005006cf18b108d36cf8e3b47c3fc30e2fdde68b24958c739e7e772da9da42e
15.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:23:29 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0013005991296f0338efbcb678d9254de54aa4577880d8aefc1bc2f059127ece
7.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:23:29 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004a003dc93d89a0e9b29c26569b8f3c0a0dd99586233e488cb16924511ae827
5.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:23:29 P.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003b00505fd47291f03a8e416fb3d7cfdc1f6bd5c46584a41cd60083beb6d93b
39.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:23:29 P.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00550027bb56b9bb908cb5886efde1f777dc70d25f18394ecdf5e5b6776abf50
121.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:23:29 P.M.
From: 0x00411fefb4ee3B27727bDfC90992E68516BD626C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000d0051075f19eb6ca92929216fc9862b28ffb5fb8422a12abdf794b65d3be5
5.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:23:01 P.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00150071f8117739a9f9bece53cf5cd821fe75ade11d142cfe146cf5a136a80d
1,304.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:23:01 P.M.
From: 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00560022ba2b767db8859673ac5143229201efd0b0d7c725a283a2d75ab56fff
