Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 2:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 2:16:00 P.M. to 08/10/2026, 2:17:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
46% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,928.85
Unexplained QUAI: 24,443
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
45,371.85 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 45372 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 2:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (54% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (46%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,998.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0006B570861e0cAC8f3eaE45009bBd96dBDEd8b5
Net sender
Unknown type
930 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044B5847BEf1162cc57f99235A491826c89473D
Net receiver
Unknown type
930 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.85 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:15:34 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
45,371.85 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:16:46 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:14:23 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:17:57 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:13:13 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:19:07 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:12:03 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:20:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.85 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:16:43 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
19,998.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:16:43 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b00026a09be4776f76b1b26808be7f0ca98b6e9e3e8c8bb5c10a506a0917f
930 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:16:43 P.M.
From: 0x0006B570861e0cAC8f3eaE45009bBd96dBDEd8b5
To: 0x0044B5847BEf1162cc57f99235A491826c89473D
Tx: 0x006a00683cb7716db5e1dde83ac22d1a333eca44809d6a082df024a09d90290b