Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 2:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 2:03:00 P.M. to 08/10/2026, 2:04:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 772.54
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 32% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
17
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
18.33 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 18 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 2:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
754.21 QUAI across 13 visible rows
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
246.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
158.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
146.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
Net receiver
Unknown type
105.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
1,057.77 QUAI • 56 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:02:37 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
18.33 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:03:48 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
2,846 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:01:26 P.M.
+2 min
13 tx
754.21 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:04:58 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:00:12 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
126.9 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:06:11 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate1 tx
19,998.84 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/10/2026, 1:59:00 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
292.3 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:07:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
246.72 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
All transfers in this selected minute
17 transactions
5.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003dBD4B919230986121a19Cf7219046D903a9c0
Tx: 0x003400191048000590a295ec0f43f3b640fa1ab8b4bdeb6f4881a1b4d5a8cf67
246.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x006c002fbaf46f541a943a95d0685d6c58dd6b74989c99d79a34fb9b2baf9f5d
5.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0076b2AC490BcdD5a99aC0450ebc8712C966b6a9
Tx: 0x006b003914509d240d1fd81c32244032ddaa85e2a9f5ec02bd666908093d2988
24.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0037da737aAf5e405ECF40243874f9A6fEba3F20
Tx: 0x00060041395399869bf9537e676e8ba7d8d3ba18a52c580654c0503e743472a8
12.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x000f000e9c3ce63ead9c8f87704f271016b2a352bc5f0da7da07a31fc4a1d59b
8.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003C076bf5A11550C99AF32F325d618A96030635
Tx: 0x001c0043804132a74017924a6e0a348188607deaeb655412493ef812e70779d8
10.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x006f00094ce4f58d75d8e5874100eaaf2351cb0e4509b84d2c01ed25f412583e
105.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
Tx: 0x0066000f73afc47328398ca5fffa70494cbff3f254efea9d7290d13a3200a8fd
13.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0069291293b35eAFfF549222aD72AEF853B11677
Tx: 0x0068001f6e75fd7dba049332a5eacf532ae8cdd4d9f4f7178893b21cef579e0b
146.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x00020064d78b5bce7c584522bb5b71ce4c6ccba6fd7e56d602a626f795469701
9.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x006a0072b30f01871973f8939570736d0520ffca6f843d22c5881162389f06e3
158.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0078003cd7228cb0331e563ebd4f6ca2dede689bd07657b2714fefe1887b1271
6.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:50 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x002b007cdf6fa8919c16623930fe274f9f3bfb771332302d5277b63aea0ec694
4.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:14 P.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001500038a7ea670b9a4739ef09883b25e7e3e7bd6deda1a7034767cde511295
6.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:14 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0011003bf84ef0466b3477d28f524f043fc625ca0bb8c18d93e1e63e6c233292
4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:14 P.M.
From: 0x005d21cF46a3a97FeDc9324E7A41fB5b5fe48274
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000e006948928b76467149f12a5d61a91af0ea16ec885e33129bbe943c6faa14
4.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:03:14 P.M.
From: 0x007510f999E7B68BA84EeC7f9ABC0E3F0547C2BD
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00790022457179762f38100eaa54774d5ec11d6693b76ea76e9f77740444d4bd