Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 12:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 12:21:00 P.M. to 08/10/2026, 12:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,020,414.83
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 12:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Balanced
Exchange
4,019,994.83 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,999,996 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075438f84e17136533D75dFc8918A588Fed0e9B
Net sender
Unknown type
420 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0011925CEC11026705291DF247D59B3DE0045944
Net receiver
Unknown type
420 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.83 QUAI
From exchange: 3,999,996 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/10/2026, 12:20:09 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
4,020,414.83 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/10/2026, 12:22:27 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/10/2026, 12:18:57 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/10/2026, 12:17:46 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
542.18 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/10/2026, 12:23:40 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
49,622.76 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/10/2026, 12:16:36 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/10/2026, 12:24:50 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/10/2026, 12:26:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,999,996 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 12:21:38 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
3,999,996 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 12:21:38 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0053bcdc4F5Af4B35079d4D091fCD1D86A958D06
Tx: 0x004200787dcd8e88fb17166c2a4bbe6e4acc3908d7e2a511d7cdc2f9a9fc0b7a
19,998.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 12:21:38 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f002b79b597fdd02ebe2db44d67a2d4f3f1c84ab0dc8b50a7532e31d7b975
420 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 12:21:38 P.M.
From: 0x0075438f84e17136533D75dFc8918A588Fed0e9B
To: 0x0011925CEC11026705291DF247D59B3DE0045944
Tx: 0x003a002e47f37f3e9ca7ee4e0067d957925d423b56af205849ae9d234c7c856e