Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 12:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 12:07:00 P.M. to 08/10/2026, 12:08:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
0% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 89.58
Unexplained QUAI: 20,127.09
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 72% of explained volume
Relative context
6.8x above local average
18x previous minute
4039x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
20,216.67 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564 • 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 20217 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564 • 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 12:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
Net sender
Unknown type
64.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Net receiver
Unknown type
64.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0011925CEC11026705291DF247D59B3DE0045944
Net sender
Unknown type
20 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0034D21a4e09f32ff3303a5063c1ddC0beEB9fFb
Net receiver
Unknown type
20 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001467366abd35Be692Dd7B8cFD6A80d092C5ae
Net sender
Unknown type
5.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
20,216.67 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/10/2026, 12:07:11 P.M.
-1 min
19 tx
1,135.63 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/10/2026, 12:06:00 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
5.01 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/10/2026, 12:08:21 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/10/2026, 12:04:49 P.M.
-3 min
51 tx
1,888.74 QUAI • 59 addresses
08/10/2026, 12:03:38 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/10/2026, 12:09:34 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/10/2026, 12:10:44 P.M.
-5 min
5 tx
557.81 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/10/2026, 12:02:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
64.58 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 12:07:03 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
5.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 12:07:31 P.M.
From: 0x0001467366abd35Be692Dd7B8cFD6A80d092C5ae
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0022001f101d2a0a5fa1f49ee899a8e9de49a806dc4cd858cc0c9affd24e60b0
64.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 12:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Tx: 0x0036005e42a6b0be451a09f59ff7c268e490aa85c95410a014ddeb67aced4a35
20 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 12:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x0011925CEC11026705291DF247D59B3DE0045944
To: 0x0034D21a4e09f32ff3303a5063c1ddC0beEB9fFb
Tx: 0x000b005446c60404cca1c8b5e4b5e46d4ed123b184a7c21cbfafcd03ce8d97f0