Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 11:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 11:16:00 A.M. to 08/10/2026, 11:17:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 23,169.67
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
10x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
10,215.7 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002dF282441CdB71Fec834205c48E6Cc52a03C48 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 10216 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002dF282441CdB71Fec834205c48E6Cc52a03C48 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
0x005915845eCEA53921B37177969361F2A65A8005 -> 0x002dF282441CdB71Fec834205c48E6Cc52a03C48 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 11:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002dF282441CdB71Fec834205c48E6Cc52a03C48
Net receiver
Unknown type
23,169.67 QUAI across 3 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
11,989.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x005915845eCEA53921B37177969361F2A65A8005
Net sender
Unknown type
11,180 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x005915845eCEA53921B37177969361F2A65A8005 → 0x002dF282441CdB71Fec834205c48E6Cc52a03C48
2 repeated flows • 11,180 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 11,989.67 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:15:24 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
10,215.7 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:16:37 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
3,857.26 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:14:14 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
13,395.37 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:17:48 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:18:59 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:11:55 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
20,214.85 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:20:09 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 1 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:10:44 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
11,989.67 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 11:16:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002dF282441CdB71Fec834205c48E6Cc52a03C48
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
11,989.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 11:16:53 A.M.
From: 0x002dF282441CdB71Fec834205c48E6Cc52a03C48
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002500171248d6f65ae002909ed3cfdcca0d338de9187c941ed1c6538ebc7d64
1,180 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 11:16:53 A.M.
From: 0x005915845eCEA53921B37177969361F2A65A8005
To: 0x002dF282441CdB71Fec834205c48E6Cc52a03C48
Tx: 0x006c006bd46dc79e5505836ba59e921df8accbac3df2e50160aee7f255741669
10,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 11:16:26 A.M.
From: 0x005915845eCEA53921B37177969361F2A65A8005
To: 0x002dF282441CdB71Fec834205c48E6Cc52a03C48
Tx: 0x0063003db770fbf19df1176626f8cb5e79959ac625dfa268a105a57a15ec79e9