Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 11:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 11:15:00 A.M. to 08/10/2026, 11:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
22% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 215.7
Unexplained QUAI: 784.3
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
1
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
1,000 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0014B0D25aCdA57927AFC2fB215d13369A56c617.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1000 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0014B0D25aCdA57927AFC2fB215d13369A56c617.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 11:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (78% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (22%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
215.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0014B0D25aCdA57927AFC2fB215d13369A56c617
Net receiver
Unknown type
215.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:15:24 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
3,857.26 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:14:14 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
10,215.7 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:16:37 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:11:55 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
13,395.37 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:17:48 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 1 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:10:44 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:18:59 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/10/2026, 11:09:34 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
215.7 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 11:15:46 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0014B0D25aCdA57927AFC2fB215d13369A56c617
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
215.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 11:15:46 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0014B0D25aCdA57927AFC2fB215d13369A56c617
Tx: 0x007900021dde00126baf27d388b53a8588f92fe76c46337179f65c500502bc58