Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 8:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 8:04:00 A.M. to 08/10/2026, 8:05:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
46% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 39,032.91
Unexplained QUAI: 45,798.42
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 93% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
19x previous minute
2.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
41
Observable rows
3
7.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
56
Asset volume
84,831.33 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b • 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 84831 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b • 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788.
0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b -> 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 8:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (54% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (46%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
Net sender
Unknown type
39,032.91 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
Net receiver
Unknown type
36,446.13 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00740ff1b12889d6d3b9a98B6daE4653C3B56012
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,586.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b → 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
2 repeated flows • 36,446.13 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate41 tx
84,831.33 QUAI • 56 addresses
08/10/2026, 8:04:26 A.M.
-1 min
52 tx
4,534.99 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/10/2026, 8:03:15 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
8,760.25 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/10/2026, 8:02:04 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
39,032.91 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/10/2026, 8:05:39 A.M.
-3 min
53 tx
5,506.53 QUAI • 65 addresses
08/10/2026, 8:00:53 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/10/2026, 8:06:49 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/10/2026, 7:59:43 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
82,457.01 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/10/2026, 8:07:59 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
36,263.9 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 8:04:52 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2,586.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 8:04:59 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x00740ff1b12889d6d3b9a98B6daE4653C3B56012
Tx: 0x00410004b4e7642f163112d5c43ec0a697dbee51804a532e996199d54d840d07
36,263.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 8:04:52 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
Tx: 0x00280052d92e8c385bc67c2d6acceac159d89c9af7b0d56ba8c52b3b1f0b1266
182.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 8:04:40 A.M.
From: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b
To: 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
Tx: 0x003900463d6eb9b391b3a6ec6afbe7bcc0c618887ed34520051d9e16d4400400