Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 6:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 6:20:00 A.M. to 08/10/2026, 6:21:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 60,129.69
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
19x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
30,064.4 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 30064 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 6:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
60,129.69 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
30,065.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D0b8c5A4b316912776d971fB4Bff7C061bF49
Net sender
Unknown type
30,064.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
31,633.15 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/10/2026, 6:19:43 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
1,568.2 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/10/2026, 6:18:30 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
30,064.4 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/10/2026, 6:20:53 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
30,065.29 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/10/2026, 6:22:04 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/10/2026, 6:17:20 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
241.98 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/10/2026, 6:23:15 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/10/2026, 6:16:10 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/10/2026, 6:24:25 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
30,065.29 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 6:20:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
30,065.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 6:20:53 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x002f0007b43ea8481474418408cbf9ca55c45dab1c87bd3dd4988ceb20c7ee6d
30,064.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 6:20:34 A.M.
From: 0x004D0b8c5A4b316912776d971fB4Bff7C061bF49
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x00040022753a901af8453cb4cd70dd4be36a99f0d8016c000145911c331bb84e