Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 3:14:00 A.M. to 08/10/2026, 3:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
96% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,305.83
Unexplained QUAI: 119.93
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
3,425.76 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002D650fce8F91D5d1d2389614d6f40577ef7aDe • 0x004B62ef2202c12Dc3a9959E4e2F160263f54075.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 3426 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002D650fce8F91D5d1d2389614d6f40577ef7aDe • 0x004B62ef2202c12Dc3a9959E4e2F160263f54075.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002D650fce8F91D5d1d2389614d6f40577ef7aDe
Net sender
Unknown type
3,305.83 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004B62ef2202c12Dc3a9959E4e2F160263f54075
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,282.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006bAb53c1fD6CE4B7c30e702FCD0454D0E5a8D9
Net receiver
Unknown type
22.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
3,425.76 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:14:05 A.M.
-1 min
11 tx
8,543.56 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:12:53 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
3,305.83 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:15:16 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:11:42 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:16:26 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate23 tx
17,643.6 QUAI • 36 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:10:29 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:17:37 A.M.
-5 min
12 tx
5,293.8 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:09:18 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,282.85 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:14:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002D650fce8F91D5d1d2389614d6f40577ef7aDe
To: 0x004B62ef2202c12Dc3a9959E4e2F160263f54075
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
3,282.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:14:25 A.M.
From: 0x002D650fce8F91D5d1d2389614d6f40577ef7aDe
To: 0x004B62ef2202c12Dc3a9959E4e2F160263f54075
Tx: 0x007a004b93ae9db6ba2dcce2a414dd168e91e8b1e2d22835a6f40e4ffe123879
22.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 3:14:25 A.M.
From: 0x002D650fce8F91D5d1d2389614d6f40577ef7aDe
To: 0x006bAb53c1fD6CE4B7c30e702FCD0454D0E5a8D9
Tx: 0x0070001dc2496fa8973e84ccef950c8e67004fd1c09779c944f56018d4fc5a0b
