Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 2:58:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 2:58:00 A.M. to 08/10/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
45% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,097.27
Unexplained QUAI: 4,934.94
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
2.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
10
90.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
9,032.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 9032 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 2:58:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (55% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (45%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,182.31 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,122.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
914.96 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00631D43f340A0EC5F247627756fc1288f05Cc1E
Net receiver
Unknown type
574.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062c980Ebe67AF14207ea5310c559EE747183A1
Net receiver
Unknown type
559.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
8 tx
4,358.74 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:57:23 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
9,032.21 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:58:35 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
1,244.44 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:56:12 A.M.
+2 min
12 tx
21,084.68 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:59:46 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
2,485.86 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:55:02 A.M.
+3 min
54 tx
5,630.91 QUAI • 68 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:00:57 A.M.
-4 min
37 tx
34,772.02 QUAI • 47 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:53:49 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate27 tx
61,676.32 QUAI • 37 addresses
08/10/2026, 3:02:08 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,122.17 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:58:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
55.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:58:49 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00642D2262D69db4298a178870e37B19F341fedB
Tx: 0x0039007416c0caf2a8b9f489afd2eda36430efcba708d0deb51aa9d12755b0ad
188.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:58:49 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00643dc72F39DB145DA23e61c09Ee4a55b819a02
Tx: 0x007700338f5ef7438949e399207c0e766a345f489fe8d2a52af09465625e54db
57.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:58:43 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0063579f16F127cFCb0814f005f7caE7E7F54a44
Tx: 0x002700214cfdca51efbcbb9498dbf4c50b04ccfaec9f76d57aba0534903664ce
67.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:58:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006423A5E5f51916c158a0C2047fA2f091eDF35D
Tx: 0x007f007a1fa57e4462e619c22c4fed62620b830369b6c226eff57967077836b2
574.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:58:36 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00631D43f340A0EC5F247627756fc1288f05Cc1E
Tx: 0x001b003bfeeb569c0b66897e4de1a2e14ea59aab0a0482e943f3e5f4f201513a
74.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:58:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00641b564408D937179203D09C1754D867Af6527
Tx: 0x00560053e930dfb1e1ee67f40ff3ab74d42f072def5995644a85fb2cc48a5d6e
158.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:58:31 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0063B7EcE01A26afda1E602cCD29B771C428b62F
Tx: 0x000d000a43739a243d9b73929d2e70d4673cbd90aef729f381ad965fa45e75d9
239.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:58:31 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00627Ca48Eb5122B274badc01b1be67E9bde7f1b
Tx: 0x001f003301aee1d91c5a9fb46f265a622fa2bf2f4e449f725ab0866b86c7dfcf
559.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:58:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0062c980Ebe67AF14207ea5310c559EE747183A1
Tx: 0x005100667089fcb1fe5b8e1bd3085c3d6d851fa8a315f23a2756d7a6da388fd5
2,122.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:58:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Tx: 0x001100217d8e97414586d271adfde89cc1f91943aeec2e12f8518acd7bf6488c