Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 2:27:00 A.M. to 08/10/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
68% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,907.43
Unexplained QUAI: 1,808.75
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 32% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
1.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
12
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
5,716.18 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 5716 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (32% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,545.51 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,248.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
825.08 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
536.84 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00298455380F5F0f7f598Bef2b4C5963B02C0e79
Net receiver
Unknown type
481.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate26 tx
13,082.82 QUAI • 37 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:26:32 A.M.
+1 min
15 tx
5,716.18 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:27:43 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
3,567.78 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:25:20 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
3,760.95 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:28:54 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
1,887.95 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:24:10 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
12,308.71 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:30:05 A.M.
-4 min
21 tx
4,009.88 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:22:58 A.M.
+4 min
9 tx
12,302 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:31:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,248.63 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:27:13 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
311.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:27:55 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085
Tx: 0x0045006a9e96c4fc3eb48bd1060a38baf7b275ada92a3d2ff373efa9abad6b50
42.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:27:55 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001f3E19dDB09B46450F8Df87120f8C3C66C16cC
Tx: 0x00220001c86ec0d29f5b2d87517d0cb949ccaaec84f5dcebf4727eb7ac4e16fd
383.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:27:55 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002b2f4865ba5017404F9Ea0FBe35D1f9f8eb515
Tx: 0x003f0038d7d54ec5da2f34164f5e4344ba44979775ab7ee57e307a1e4352c5fe
248.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:27:37 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003bA9cC15706b5b85A1490B44bCCdd94b6e1CF7
Tx: 0x00790009e7a4d2eeb22a43bc3228d879249043c77fd914a2385278979c0ec904
35.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:27:37 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001E28E3f83E2447F614F84a45d9B93b42617245
Tx: 0x004900602cec2ca5193f521fa6e5e1c3c51d10ee08da258fe2a80d293f44d627
481.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:27:37 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00298455380F5F0f7f598Bef2b4C5963B02C0e79
Tx: 0x00370034f9a86538b866b701972c76bffe1abb14237977befb7340df478bebb9
431.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:27:19 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0028379b254697F901EDeFc2E5f4bE459a47Bdcb
Tx: 0x003e0034b04b80b73440657065ca28959adf87c55c109c85d7490715cb26a543
94.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:27:19 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003Ae0bBb0BA9B92C0C6f21C68f34a30D0122402
Tx: 0x007e000deb8842165f5f2998e056e790bb35eedc1ee6853c1123dcd8c19aebc6
163.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:27:19 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
Tx: 0x00450022ec531e69e63dec5817d7eb540db09ad32c7695323b7b0dba9cf3483b
1,248.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:27:13 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA
Tx: 0x001300459ed99f30d625a74e8709a0cf5d37b9ccc8c0812994e9891ed8cd19ff
294.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:27:13 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001DB0b6A0D124E04C8a4E7a4074E82A0B285d5d
Tx: 0x0076006a9ed1dd0da3e7499454f945a171ceb1adf3b6c027082a257963ba5ae5
170.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:27:13 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Tx: 0x0060006c857cc85de6f989d6ec144d6c375c98df272fdfc62f87b98e7fb8ae72
