Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 2:21:00 A.M. to 08/10/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
60% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,461.39
Unexplained QUAI: 3,587.71
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
5.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
21
Observable rows
15
71.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
9,049.1 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 9049 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (40% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,765.14 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,432.79 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,429.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,263.46 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Net receiver
Unknown type
850.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
1,044.75 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:20:36 A.M.
+1 min
21 tx
9,049.1 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:21:47 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
1,642.96 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:19:26 A.M.
+2 min
21 tx
4,009.88 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:22:58 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate18 tx
15,835.06 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:18:15 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
1,887.95 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:24:10 A.M.
-4 min
14 tx
6,720.55 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:16:55 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
3,567.78 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/10/2026, 2:25:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,429.43 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:21:04 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
385.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:21:51 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0027a5bC35F2EA14fB6427668a2233eE5DDE73bD
Tx: 0x00330015a3c03abb486355546449169dfe2db1ecb3a84a7555c3d28c9f7be297
333.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:21:51 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000F79dd294ee84748fb65F770369D067a8c5370
Tx: 0x006b0050b03c97cf637a44dc8374021f47d815efaeee4932fb811f2b58b49fef
36.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:21:51 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002039698813B45D9EF052686407d4AcdB346a38
Tx: 0x002c003bc410cff6a595f9e64353f6dc62302e71fd88a178409d41c172738c38
466.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:21:29 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00273ceF172f5449057ef36B1f4A4D211caF4Ea5
Tx: 0x0057003a3a27509ea8930b71ad97eeb8df79d9abc0d90df9fde52091e84ac479
35.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:21:29 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001f9877E5fb9235a03174007F1F0B728704d9a1
Tx: 0x007c004c1e829dac0aa5b9d10c119e8da3e994ffbd4c2c1684e9f0843cccdeeb
89.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:21:29 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000eF006491B582d7efA50D60Cf8B2A41ef4b4F1
Tx: 0x00070005b4aaa53f3d291af3955d8088d535f618f2d87497bf4c430b029c23d3
117.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:21:09 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002736E210a59eF5Cd41c8dF464604364902e90D
Tx: 0x005f003f918b66035c814e70fca299f1a7b157d2ce0159f0ba5e907fca158cf9
151.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:21:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001F00c9f7fF0Fb15E9Ca68CeF23D5F0541B0bc4
Tx: 0x007f0073cdfaf9d13523fdca736c57d9aeeb01b506ab93d21ce5b284c3a8b0a3
850.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:21:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Tx: 0x00400015c8787b0a99f5b4709edd31e1fafdb271629b9695abf59b1ca0f5b6d2
257.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:21:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
Tx: 0x002b0053d54ffd1c773b6c6fa1f0b6dc6564cba0fbde53a07064554b623a0cea
242.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:21:04 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0025E8476A4d9B0a14A490d982899384F3e42437
Tx: 0x002e000f0e5ba377fce64fc352d27d67d81ee1d3ceb8f88426b397d5d31c9f6a
61.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:21:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000d0c11B58e7EC222F200e47C974dc2a574B25b
Tx: 0x00790015569f977b1de2492e67c2624b016e9716f0bf6cc866b578c8c0363ee9
781.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:21:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001d8b0943407f32c6f543D890C3b2E2f805D40a
Tx: 0x003e005bd21d2227329fc4cfb2d7578b72913c7e1b35ad02f3cb9ba71fac2dbe
220.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:21:04 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0026310f1963Bf08EaD7028ad5A4533AC987A38B
Tx: 0x0051001d3a1b8793a57aa3be3576b53a55a8f7bfea60b4140108ec6f547d5814
1,429.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 2:21:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
Tx: 0x002f000afaab5faae267a905cb4e96935f1af893b0bed0ab62d567ce6b3a316f
