Spike bucket
08/10/2026, 1:33:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/10/2026, 1:33:00 A.M. to 08/10/2026, 1:34:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
43% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,289.42
Unexplained QUAI: 19,999.05
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
35,288.47 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 35288 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/10/2026, 1:33:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (57% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (43%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
15,289.42 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
15,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
StratumX miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
289.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/10/2026, 1:32:21 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
35,288.47 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/10/2026, 1:33:41 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
2.64 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/10/2026, 1:31:03 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/10/2026, 1:35:00 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/10/2026, 1:29:45 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/10/2026, 1:36:18 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/10/2026, 1:28:26 A.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/10/2026, 1:37:36 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
15,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 1:33:02 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
289.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 1:33:02 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: StratumX miner
0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x00210066fd6589a13feb7299124bbd8e66fcc914848b3642f234a79c768dfd8c
15,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/10/2026, 1:33:02 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x002f0029903f9e935889a79bb902f8ce384f1f5e1553bfce04bcf4ab9cf4ee2a
