Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 10:41:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 10:41:00 P.M. to 08/09/2026, 10:42:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
39% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,230.21
Unexplained QUAI: 14,147.75
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 21% of explained volume
Relative context
4.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
31
Observable rows
12
38.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
42
Asset volume
23,377.97 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0031674e2c7dC271CE7D416aA1077a8a7A5C3EF8.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 23378 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0031674e2c7dC271CE7D416aA1077a8a7A5C3EF8.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 10:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (61% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (39%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
9,230.21 QUAI across 12 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0031674e2c7dC271CE7D416aA1077a8a7A5C3EF8
Net sender
Unknown type
1,923.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
Net sender
Unknown type
1,220.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006Bfe95E7bA40A545e2009F96088617A5f61f46
Net sender
Unknown type
1,109.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d62E57a5C7d0135D9d089490C5243DB6c7B5C
Net sender
Unknown type
964.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 9,230.21 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
31 tx
21,350.43 QUAI • 40 addresses
08/09/2026, 10:40:34 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate31 tx
23,377.97 QUAI • 42 addresses
08/09/2026, 10:41:47 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 10:39:23 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/09/2026, 10:43:00 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 10:38:13 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/09/2026, 10:44:10 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/09/2026, 10:37:02 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
229.23 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/09/2026, 10:45:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,923.27 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:41:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0031674e2c7dC271CE7D416aA1077a8a7A5C3EF8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
204.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:41:26 P.M.
From: 0x006843aE3842531829ED6AdBC299F667a54974DE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000900629bb42791fa858009b61fec34950e7f2514180907657b493053cd91ce
964.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:41:01 P.M.
From: 0x000d62E57a5C7d0135D9d089490C5243DB6c7B5C
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000400315aec535b350cbb25f973e62da9e884c2bdadc651262ea817cc7adb3d
245.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:41:01 P.M.
From: 0x001cE3959b935F758CA4D4Eb5e55F35174226814
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0015000da46bcdf7478b91712692869b02789694c4441b590d42d296db7206fb
592.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:41:01 P.M.
From: 0x00184a589B21E072DceCe563217c4fAFaA4AEEA5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f005901d01725d4c48b279e0704ef875978c6889029ae171f8c74a9d9afbc
573.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:41:01 P.M.
From: 0x0063a36f6F5A73d2C216685FAc40Adc4E69f24DA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d0033c31c915343fc23ee3e4916257576bc4a2f1aeaa6bbbb5274b6f320cd
1,109.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:41:01 P.M.
From: 0x006Bfe95E7bA40A545e2009F96088617A5f61f46
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a002bb347739a338a9ff7f292f5b539f9d523dc1836703d35f44a92cdd81f
1,220.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:41:01 P.M.
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00600017b3e9173a6eeeaff9f05f4b6d428cb64560be6650d8a950cd28718f45
783.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:41:01 P.M.
From: 0x0042F356DBDfd1238f3595EBe8751DE5b8BDc2C1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005900709c69b0ce9197f6ce2f613d80a880d237d85185a713a252f52af5a269
715.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:41:01 P.M.
From: 0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0052004b731b1f599864ed8a6b9b6e1adeebc6720ca7d46a61f3d071bc1c96dd
379.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:41:01 P.M.
From: 0x0044213c6085Bd687803589fa5233aAa0076C20a
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000a000cebe951191147bd44a524b8ab8528330cca8c49404291d73380f411eb
1,923.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:41:01 P.M.
From: 0x0031674e2c7dC271CE7D416aA1077a8a7A5C3EF8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002f00741316eef3708ecc3cadca5e6b08cfa08e6a1a6979a7592e767cd68cac
518.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:41:01 P.M.
From: 0x0049Db8a6b394F0b426b0BC29498DF6a33FA2259
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0028006ce6419388e950776a0cc850bbef7a1c260b418649e4d9bc7d3758ad0f