Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 10:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 10:22:00 P.M. to 08/09/2026, 10:23:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 113.69
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
113.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 114 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 10:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
113.69 QUAI across 9 visible rows
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net sender
Unknown type
50.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
16.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Net sender
Unknown type
12.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Net sender
Unknown type
8.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/09/2026, 10:21:19 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
113.69 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/09/2026, 10:22:38 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/09/2026, 10:23:58 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/09/2026, 10:18:52 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 10:25:16 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/09/2026, 10:17:34 P.M.
+5 min
Best candidate1 tx
19,999.02 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/09/2026, 10:26:34 P.M.
-6 min
1 tx
2.8 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/09/2026, 10:16:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
50.64 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:22:23 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
5.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:22:23 P.M.
From: 0x00585160E8466d30d02Bb3b2fBE7d929ac62D556
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0021004eaa5a2d2192249b4433b6b7f15d4b5bd3ff47e7e4819fe8a10115b690
3.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:22:23 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0011002aff9838f9c798a938c069eab78a19631bb2c3a4bc84851963c967cd1c
4.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:22:23 P.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007b005c050622020aace6227281910980f7009e224b7e87ee97dadc48709084
8.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:22:23 P.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003e0006a00939d1cfc6bc095aa2529d34db9944a66328d3d1564afd0b720d03
12.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:22:23 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006b00411f457782367a877eb85198004442d0eefbfd159a5fb528d8e2cfbcbb
4.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:22:23 P.M.
From: 0x00051a801E6E9293A8A2d978a80A45AA231a6A8e
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003e0013a5f3172c95b6e7e22b1e48a324c5fb32cfdf98717c880d33a809f065
16.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:22:23 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00580050ee42caf6e709e50f1aa85a2b27a559a4b9cea724d60b34a1f094ce86
50.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:22:23 P.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005200676ba43d4222e5888f981be95fae688b2d0e33195dfe15c2e483f84690
8.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 10:22:23 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00050004bf73aa6385c7c1c09b02bd40ec078239706bdcbaeb56518ee5258262