Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 9:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 9:06:00 P.M. to 08/09/2026, 9:07:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 159.24
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 9:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
81.27 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
Net sender
Unknown type
77.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Net receiver
Unknown type
77.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Net receiver
Unknown type
63.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Net receiver
Unknown type
17.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/09/2026, 9:06:19 P.M.
-1 min
24 tx
903.44 QUAI • 36 addresses
08/09/2026, 9:05:00 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
991.31 QUAI • 65 addresses
08/09/2026, 9:03:41 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
159.24 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/09/2026, 9:07:37 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/09/2026, 9:08:55 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
12.52 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/09/2026, 9:02:22 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 9:10:13 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,950.89 QUAI • 62 addresses
08/09/2026, 9:01:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
77.97 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 9:06:36 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
17.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 9:06:59 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x0072CC14Cf0F186e4D39bdcEc0056b736Da79B23
Tx: 0x00220077db44e0d2b3cfd3b9bd33a70a53fe5b69b32afb987c75d7d8069355d4
63.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 9:06:36 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x000f006f056a492e9856bc8bd55a439a8974ea9b40cc9fcf7784a1559ffdec34
77.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 9:06:36 P.M.
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Tx: 0x00610032aacf687545fc81fe9dea0de3d156dc399c3a7a624f5c8b1fc3e140bb
