Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 8:32:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 8:32:00 P.M. to 08/09/2026, 8:33:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
91% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 77.74
Unexplained QUAI: 7.9
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
85.64 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 86 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 8:32:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
77.74 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net sender
Unknown type
51.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
17.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
Net sender
Unknown type
9.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
85.64 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/09/2026, 8:32:16 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/09/2026, 8:30:57 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/09/2026, 8:29:39 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/09/2026, 8:33:34 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/09/2026, 8:34:52 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/09/2026, 8:28:19 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 8:36:10 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate2 tx
21,671.79 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/09/2026, 8:27:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
51.39 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 8:32:04 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
9.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 8:32:04 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007c0042b60922b18b9bbdfc06fba034651f13fa15553291c3005d0310834bb0
51.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 8:32:04 P.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005c0054eaa57901fe1bf3c30d30d04b681ea641ba7737c06fd67039ad1766e2
17.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 8:32:04 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000a001434574177ea9fffa3bcbd3ef859829bd4b280b6e321f66c1fff01d5f1
