Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 5:50:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 5:50:00 P.M. to 08/09/2026, 5:51:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
70% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 172.49
Unexplained QUAI: 73.81
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
246.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 246 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 5:50:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (30% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
172.49 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Net receiver
Unknown type
117.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00252EE28fE76f7C8407e917112A83C2d1C3F9C4
Net receiver
Unknown type
55.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
246.3 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:50:03 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
774.55 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:48:45 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
172.49 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:51:22 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:47:27 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1,440 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:52:40 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:46:09 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate3 tx
21,555.59 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:54:00 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
19,998.88 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:44:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
117.04 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 5:50:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
55.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 5:50:29 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x00252EE28fE76f7C8407e917112A83C2d1C3F9C4
Tx: 0x00410049606343ee1cbd484bfdfb852fc79a40fc332566f08cdae03d76dd4c95
117.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 5:50:01 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Tx: 0x0054003b332b896f843119f96cf2615e322d984e5fe89cffb9dc80ac467cb272
