Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 5:32:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 5:32:00 P.M. to 08/09/2026, 5:33:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 80.38
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
80.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 80 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 5:32:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
80.38 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net sender
Unknown type
43.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
17.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
Net sender
Unknown type
8.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA
Net sender
Unknown type
6.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:31:51 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:30:33 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
16,737.83 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:33:13 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
10.63 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:29:15 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:34:31 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:27:56 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
16,099.24 QUAI • 3 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:35:41 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate1 tx
19,998.88 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:26:38 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
43.39 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 5:32:31 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
17.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 5:32:31 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003500058fb5389a1c66245b62b74d475c3a360d42a70cb7686d0fce74ae0bb4
8.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 5:32:31 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0042001899c4a4fb50e8ec79888fde6ed69cc1b446a1cb1cce0f2d3b2c2b784f
4.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 5:32:31 P.M.
From: 0x002421a135338777A2A26f2fb6f5ca5FEa8CA7d3
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00620065c4053b44ba8da366fa96b6969184d6466481fb7794a24f7b5643db02
43.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 5:32:31 P.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0063001b84d25b487fa140f0198087d9226c0b40f1835d4bb3ca40d368e0140e
6.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 5:32:31 P.M.
From: 0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004c005c7180edc3e570aed342b03aad86c71dbe13d68fde76df471a08b1324e