Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 5:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 5:07:00 P.M. to 08/09/2026, 5:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 948.54
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
85.54 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 86 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 5:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
828.8 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
400.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
Net sender
Unknown type
119.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Net receiver
Unknown type
119.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005E8fC2D987eab31887d75650ccbD041A88Dc7b
Net sender
Unknown type
115.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 828.8 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
85.54 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:07:07 P.M.
-1 min
23 tx
1,095.76 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:05:49 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
948.54 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:08:26 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
9.49 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:04:30 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:09:45 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate50 tx
2,662.76 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:03:11 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:11:03 P.M.
-5 min
50 tx
2,129.5 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/09/2026, 5:01:51 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
400.69 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 5:07:16 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
119.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 5:07:16 P.M.
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Tx: 0x002f002fb8fa077be7dfc9fd31f4d0400591d415741590603c5f29a1a41992b1
105.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 5:07:16 P.M.
From: 0x00499820cd45eC441c20F0bD6AA3Dec765767d19
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005000676e4b1c9af9d291747abae66bb2ba70fc8ff7bd7d372758580204ba9e
106.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 5:07:16 P.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0017007ae548415f15a8e0e28ee4d8da8c3d716f73d822b42118dd4fb694e2c7
100.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 5:07:16 P.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e007918d9a786e05f0205f4788733c5e60cff915774db3506743ee8e53e13
400.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 5:07:16 P.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004800061c87da4f643ba3d58730ebabcff65ef5a1e65a536e3c5ee20350d681
115.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 5:07:16 P.M.
From: 0x005E8fC2D987eab31887d75650ccbD041A88Dc7b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d0034d2969cb8c02f58e0f797ab1d82eb1f79a5e1023e8ae12697a7fa7fa2