Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 4:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 4:06:00 P.M. to 08/09/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
40% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 223.64
Unexplained QUAI: 338.21
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.3x previous minute
2.5x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
3
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
561.86 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564 • 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 562 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564 • 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 4:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (60% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (40%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
Net sender
Unknown type
203.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Net receiver
Unknown type
203.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
20.46 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Net sender
Unknown type
11.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
9.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
561.86 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/09/2026, 4:06:12 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate39 tx
1,746.68 QUAI • 49 addresses
08/09/2026, 4:04:53 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
1,117.81 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/09/2026, 4:03:42 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
223.64 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/09/2026, 4:07:31 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/09/2026, 4:08:50 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
968.01 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 4:02:23 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/09/2026, 4:10:02 P.M.
-5 min
50 tx
1,646.77 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/09/2026, 4:01:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
203.18 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 4:06:39 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
203.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 4:06:39 P.M.
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Tx: 0x005d002d84f9208c2f8cab7f50039fdbc20bce303ee809f94b27bb5a045df776
11.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 4:06:12 P.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x00380035815fb921d2c5711e85ef08c04004d38df8dc2380fde0c7c72ad73f6d
9.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 4:06:12 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x000a001bb0b2af06ceece0be56bbcbbb3afbe0cba434751d2e3f0c81f1ca8838