Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 3:25:00 P.M. to 08/09/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
43% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,316.2
Unexplained QUAI: 5,650.3
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 9% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
25
Observable rows
12
48.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
41
Asset volume
9,966.49 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000f199409379202d1F55Ca5ce1442D80c698156.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 9966 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000f199409379202d1F55Ca5ce1442D80c698156.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (57% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (43%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,316.2 QUAI across 12 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000f199409379202d1F55Ca5ce1442D80c698156
Net sender
Unknown type
376.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Net sender
Unknown type
374.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
Net sender
Unknown type
372.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Net sender
Unknown type
371.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,316.2 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
35 tx
30,474.02 QUAI • 50 addresses
08/09/2026, 3:24:30 P.M.
+1 min
25 tx
9,966.49 QUAI • 41 addresses
08/09/2026, 3:25:45 P.M.
-2 min
17 tx
64,223.06 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/09/2026, 3:23:17 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/09/2026, 3:27:06 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate11 tx
205,646.7 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/09/2026, 3:21:57 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/09/2026, 3:27:46 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
19,999.19 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 3:20:38 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 3:29:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
376.12 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 3:25:17 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000f199409379202d1F55Ca5ce1442D80c698156
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
347.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 3:25:25 P.M.
From: 0x0000b63F3E349Da2F7A30048A452f8A4278673D9
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e001f0e4c0d989e5135e37595f0d5e62dfc2a6fdf91c1677dc67706594927
363.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 3:25:25 P.M.
From: 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00690008b6a487c9750dcbd51f93304963c93ed0c067396eb276d4fda3dffec5
344.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 3:25:17 P.M.
From: 0x005E6F17BC0320c439526bf12AbDB525165Ca3b3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000f0001ea18700a4935c49453952d464c6162fee5cfe458e5697dee533642b2
349.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 3:25:17 P.M.
From: 0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0065007f8fdd48ec9dd0165346b533a7b802f29860c55dc8102ce89fd18a3fa1
376.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 3:25:17 P.M.
From: 0x000f199409379202d1F55Ca5ce1442D80c698156
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a000d1194ee08fbce99aebb4122ce1520d1a31a81a30c25d365a819f9fe17
371.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 3:25:17 P.M.
From: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061005543df222980a0ed7057294741b187edb9b620ed740f69e92a8a01c16d
346.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 3:25:17 P.M.
From: 0x0012fE23b7728eC7b817396fFBDCAA441f7E50Dc
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003500166e036f6bca103636118a3b697759edecdb055ed8a5ef5721f5d5dbff
356.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 3:25:17 P.M.
From: 0x006013336a20187f7eC52e8C98caF5b3340E007d
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00660036c52d97d2c3877b3fd31be1337b76ab166ddfd87a92c9d01c2530176c
374.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 3:25:17 P.M.
From: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001000185824cfc265968ef795340d9ea4b76615aebf5d7aef2d8e2f52885deb
351.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 3:25:17 P.M.
From: 0x000f5c2d2500087d3e26357402170042be0367f5
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0036006dcdc26b3c33dcb71fd18df4cc935ff3d0ba648d9dbc994096d941435a
362.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 3:25:17 P.M.
From: 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d003c3095b6693aa8b745850af87b7084f89dc0ffbf88e62f12eb1738582d
372.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 3:25:17 P.M.
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0053005721063eda6f3c81d5436e076a61ff1fca1c9702f9344ed4057eee4cb2