Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 3:01:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 3:01:00 P.M. to 08/09/2026, 3:02:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 318.29
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
318.29 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 318 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 3:01:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
318.29 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
Net sender
Unknown type
201.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037F0FAAf49727f305cef2E9daaA4FA98DD9516
Net sender
Unknown type
116.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 318.29 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate50 tx
1,973.16 QUAI • 59 addresses
08/09/2026, 3:00:51 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:59:32 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
318.29 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/09/2026, 3:02:09 P.M.
+2 min
50 tx
1,065.49 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/09/2026, 3:03:20 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:58:12 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:56:54 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:55:36 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/09/2026, 3:05:47 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
201.42 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 3:01:58 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
116.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 3:01:58 P.M.
From: 0x0037F0FAAf49727f305cef2E9daaA4FA98DD9516
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c007efca0222b2b49e076ad6b7ed3acd760ffa38bddb72f62741241cb94b3
201.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 3:01:58 P.M.
From: 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a0059ceb7a8216b65fa638ab89c49951f1a2ba036b3563b9b8b2313e475eb