Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 12:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 12:04:00 P.M. to 08/09/2026, 12:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 239.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
239.68 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 240 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 12:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
239.68 QUAI across 9 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
150.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net receiver
Unknown type
40.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Net receiver
Unknown type
10.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0069291293b35eAFfF549222aD72AEF853B11677
Net receiver
Unknown type
9.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
51 tx
1,195.3 QUAI • 67 addresses
08/09/2026, 12:03:56 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
207.15 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/09/2026, 12:02:45 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
239.68 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/09/2026, 12:05:15 P.M.
-3 min
51 tx
1,489.63 QUAI • 65 addresses
08/09/2026, 12:01:25 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
170.1 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/09/2026, 12:06:34 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/09/2026, 12:00:06 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate3 tx
20,107.2 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/09/2026, 12:07:53 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/09/2026, 11:58:47 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
150.67 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 12:04:45 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
5.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 12:04:45 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0026556e1Be909a07f299A03f8e78181a1f5C654
Tx: 0x002d0057ab15595e5d421362a60b79363899971f91398909d82fb7e60b128eab
10.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 12:04:45 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x0032000ea75a0580fcc575f9aad0810a5c47468c2ae0337dbe287a1d3036f434
6.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 12:04:45 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0037da737aAf5e405ECF40243874f9A6fEba3F20
Tx: 0x007d001d48497af26d60e5079609338f7eed9d537da3020eddfddca63911d178
150.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 12:04:45 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x002a0069d3120b238c3c9e18a2e0180ba0d6bc049fa57f6e1e5ea1d8e2aaf275
40.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 12:04:45 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Tx: 0x00000077c7112f7c03dbf353c24e42daac03390d1e463a446c0f8b1349945ae1
6.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 12:04:45 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x001b0047a11bc526f19f61d5f2b962c78cf4023f8c7cc669a3a7ed1db5d6b1a2
4.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 12:04:45 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00165B99043521763bb87537D7c7C24EC32247d2
Tx: 0x002f0031038be3c5e02d6cb6229bb33d9b4bafabc8e596a545219fdcb01658b7
4.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 12:04:45 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00536c5c3BF90B1E899871208eC62D33250A841e
Tx: 0x00760035cd65891b90c468df3f6ea23cbcec47c6c760a097ad9b285edbd38ddc
9.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 12:04:45 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0069291293b35eAFfF549222aD72AEF853B11677
Tx: 0x003600162237a44f226b9abca09418ba382fa7d142a4bfef6357ed9c7708c03a
