Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 11:13:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 11:13:00 A.M. to 08/09/2026, 11:14:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,710.11
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
9.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
1,706.65 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1707 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 11:13:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
2,003.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,003.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
1,706.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,620.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0074e5634b6F1E4251b42A4B7D87f783367743e6
Net receiver
Unknown type
86.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 2,003.47 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/09/2026, 11:12:44 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
181.21 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/09/2026, 11:11:34 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
1,706.65 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 11:13:54 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
4,011.17 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/09/2026, 11:15:05 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
13.57 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/09/2026, 11:10:23 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/09/2026, 11:16:15 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
105.78 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 11:09:11 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
20,107.98 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/09/2026, 11:17:25 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,003.47 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 11:13:54 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2,003.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 11:13:54 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x004400463767a1ab8e695b69a523d5058d090d0562514dde64ab1a9bb3d2dd30
86.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 11:13:06 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0074e5634b6F1E4251b42A4B7D87f783367743e6
Tx: 0x001500417365a29a3471e9d031863138912a7e8afb91e8ad954a1ecbc4cffd41
1,620.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 11:13:06 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
Tx: 0x007a0073f1255d987d426114b890030465b3cb791b12badb9dcf5256c98c985f