Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 8:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 8:36:00 A.M. to 08/09/2026, 8:37:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,145.63
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
3,070.7 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3071 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 8:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
6,145.63 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,074.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
3,070.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 3,070.7 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/09/2026, 8:35:20 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
3,070.7 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/09/2026, 8:36:30 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 8:34:10 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
3,074.94 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/09/2026, 8:37:40 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/09/2026, 8:33:00 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
5,763.22 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/09/2026, 8:38:51 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
78.39 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/09/2026, 8:31:50 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 8:40:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,074.94 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 8:36:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
3,074.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 8:36:41 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7
Tx: 0x0050003137c8a155bbb6ef7595c4795600817d4d271972b29b1037ea5b576f24
3,070.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 8:36:09 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x003e006830aea5485e6487396491a1ab8ae544c5154433cd5615c0ed4875d4fe