Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 2:51:00 A.M. to 08/09/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
64% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,976.88
Unexplained QUAI: 4,545.62
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
7
38.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
34
Asset volume
12,522.5 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 12523 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (36% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
5,975.82 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,513.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,561.06 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Net receiver
Unknown type
973.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00541EB654c3A18058F0F55315E4724be03Cf344
Net receiver
Unknown type
554.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
9 tx
13,346.27 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:50:24 A.M.
+1 min
18 tx
12,522.5 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:51:44 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
32,309.63 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:49:14 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate31 tx
54,601.16 QUAI • 46 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:52:55 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
12,907.1 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:48:03 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
1,707.98 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:54:15 A.M.
-4 min
11 tx
10,677.55 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:46:52 A.M.
-5 min
10 tx
8,917.46 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:45:41 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,513.35 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:51:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
554.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:51:53 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00541EB654c3A18058F0F55315E4724be03Cf344
Tx: 0x002b0051f64141e5413bbbedddd55b72d002180e0301124a9df8986e4600beb2
239.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:51:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0055d86A564A4B4E159540cC0AA6EdfD132243A9
Tx: 0x002a00268875d796a11a04321aa8ecbe5ca5f5d099607f14b74674c38e9c450f
440 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:51:53 A.M.
From: 0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
To: 0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087
Tx: 0x005a00794fa964dc65cfd7ea5a07e83a645c12022bc8562496712385d5afa1c9
223.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:51:28 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0051B5cDcf4f8e98c8D7BE45548C2Ca93f57a611
Tx: 0x005a001c32472982971a7f45a485917cdacc7e5811653dfdddb874c92a57d374
32.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:51:28 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00540a59285E1f4FDa311b6bBFca253609048D3A
Tx: 0x00150042b8c49515ae3ccfaf557d99fc6b81b046ca6d69980216ab60a5bfd613
973.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:51:14 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Tx: 0x00600036078b8eae8d31f085c47c8568793ab867f257152b876b8c1fd84f22cb
5,513.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:51:14 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
Tx: 0x001c001c521605c44a2f4ff6cee0788436b45d2ca01f0d58829e251d2f4ae8c0
