Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 2:45:00 A.M. to 08/09/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
40% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,524.41
Unexplained QUAI: 5,393.05
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
7
70.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
8,917.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0048f9049edD6816A471BC46782eF5fC2E6e578F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 8917 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0048f9049edD6816A471BC46782eF5fC2E6e578F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (60% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (40%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,490.48 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0048f9049edD6816A471BC46782eF5fC2E6e578F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,086.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,021.15 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,012.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0026A84e1644457ec8534A2B3A261b171f211752
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,012.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate23 tx
51,732.62 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:44:29 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
8,917.46 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:45:41 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
2,601.8 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:43:17 A.M.
+2 min
11 tx
10,677.55 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:46:52 A.M.
-3 min
13 tx
7,203.02 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:42:06 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
12,907.1 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:48:03 A.M.
-4 min
10 tx
10,142.34 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:40:55 A.M.
+4 min
9 tx
32,309.63 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:49:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,086.96 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:45:40 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0048f9049edD6816A471BC46782eF5fC2E6e578F
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
136.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:45:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00497bB7e32f778C15BBE53a9eA8Fe043698ac5B
Tx: 0x001f00494206b35f7fa00eb8653bd6f931d8302726a396615e0a16c04db0ed22
492.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:45:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0045a4a8864FE994Ab900D216C54417872Eb1b49
Tx: 0x003a0067f6f217e008aac8103bfa4ca87f1ecebad42c7d353fa5f0ff5de708ab
1,012.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:45:54 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x0026A84e1644457ec8534A2B3A261b171f211752
Tx: 0x001700397e71035c983b593e7da0a3e100aea34050a12e6ef4027378a919b185
1,086.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:45:40 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0048f9049edD6816A471BC46782eF5fC2E6e578F
Tx: 0x005a0023ed412114d752ef7a89cccb756e6d1a5383095e565b07b7675c9de602
281.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:45:40 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Tx: 0x001d004464f9046b631368978656574cdbb02918323dbd901a49c51b0597e8e6
267.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:45:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00486c55A3Bb33E240853Ae40335a28A458bD499
Tx: 0x005f005498fb5b3107fb63f40a04e14ef664c5d708dcec0fb00b5b5ea2ebc9db
247.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:45:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Tx: 0x0072000e89d908c39310ff9f18203a3eee9b5bdbdd04c19eefa79aa2711b9382
