Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 2:42:00 A.M. to 08/09/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
25% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,772.26
Unexplained QUAI: 5,430.76
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.7x previous minute
2.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
6
46.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
7,203.02 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 7203 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (75% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (25%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
829.45 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
Net receiver
Unknown type
757.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
735.57 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0041164B493EABffaa007A24972a145a8D15eE74
Net receiver
Unknown type
543.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
207.24 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
7,203.02 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:42:06 A.M.
-1 min
10 tx
10,142.34 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:40:55 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
2,601.8 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:43:17 A.M.
-2 min
18 tx
5,770.85 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:39:44 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate23 tx
51,732.62 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:44:29 A.M.
-3 min
13 tx
44,243.16 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:38:33 A.M.
+4 min
10 tx
8,917.46 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:45:41 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:37:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
757.62 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:42:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
71.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:42:49 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0042A3B70352EDDEfBacB6Ae7329702F59Ec9544
Tx: 0x005c002447e83af6c7dd22772cfeb6e799f93358ec898fd0fbaa5556733971a8
93.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:42:49 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0079c5eE80Af5B01AAc16B07A02eA44b126F62b3
Tx: 0x000300025ce72cc20c70695cd82f87aad77e0865fae021549cfe2d1632edfb68
543.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:42:49 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041164B493EABffaa007A24972a145a8D15eE74
Tx: 0x0033003c890fe954002ce24ec083ad93fb005b3bc938b85399fc1112098c94d2
191.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:42:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004104ca4e0a37CAdEf26d6bC25202e742F9f5FE
Tx: 0x003e006805ebf4cd95bcf8566e9b88194313d20219382e4e88387b5ad5e7bc5a
114.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:42:09 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00797Ef1Ef4f80d60E64E0D62c73e22789EA4355
Tx: 0x0055004fbf3acd486803adb94d7b6cc665b442cdfc4546f7a62db50cfd1fbfa8
757.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:42:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
Tx: 0x002f00176e9a811d342126e9f145482676267405230a7612c1193328ed84fef3