Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 2:39:00 A.M. to 08/09/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,897.23
Unexplained QUAI: 2,873.62
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
9
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
32
Asset volume
5,770.85 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 5771 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,133.33 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,126.74 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x003F8005224A4337d1b0B90898792343862cc0Fd
Net receiver
Unknown type
787.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006bd1C12342D6ADA4d7cB54A8484f73808350DD
Net receiver
Unknown type
720.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
637.16 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate13 tx
44,243.16 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:38:33 A.M.
+1 min
18 tx
5,770.85 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:39:44 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:37:22 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
10,142.34 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:40:55 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
3,769.95 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:36:12 A.M.
+3 min
13 tx
7,203.02 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:42:06 A.M.
-4 min
34 tx
38,029.02 QUAI • 47 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:34:59 A.M.
+4 min
9 tx
2,601.8 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:43:17 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,286.19 QUAI
Whale alertPersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
354.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:39:35 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006f8ad5513be8BCDAcD85d3c2560CC8FE348912
Tx: 0x0048000daefeeb85b126a9b0efbf23e1b89a27b7ea5e012bbe5cf714be1f2f30
415.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:39:35 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087
Tx: 0x005c001cda23dccc7904fd977cb375fd24c33bb55ac50a9cbd3cfc41302fd1b9
787.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:39:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F8005224A4337d1b0B90898792343862cc0Fd
Tx: 0x004f000c65a177e4cfb17d92666af313ffab8359b655d34ed3b2b1cae530f798
52.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:39:29 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006da86e430038348C647af027052dD73F59DDba
Tx: 0x00580015be7447101b15b905353967f1e9a0ec9205473c9732a2c293117e3cab
275.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:39:29 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F4dc3382E25ee9Ad4cBE107271b773Bc78aee
Tx: 0x003100437b6e6b870837a85d32b3d7a9b9cd71308cef183c196d1468174dffa7
187.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:39:29 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003b765e56156BFb75DfE454377C595e14E88dCa
Tx: 0x0047006657aacf9cde950c06f42516c6ee68e2071ffd366bf8352a6636894fdc
33.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:39:19 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003aD76624cD5cF6a8ED264D7d3B7C8DFB90ff58
Tx: 0x000b00757ad49e95f160e08dbc1adc90e0e48ff711317cfd6be19fa94a74bddb
69.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:39:19 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F08D446081727C9324D3A618109CF05AaC075
Tx: 0x0072007e0b32181cd3f6250ac1fe7bc955b05a4eb92208160621a5de877f8564
720.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:39:19 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006bd1C12342D6ADA4d7cB54A8484f73808350DD
Tx: 0x0057005bd86565bacdc7d5b220cb9fd4a7babd0df918f8512633454703749bde
