Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 2:24:00 A.M. to 08/09/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
67% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,576.04
Unexplained QUAI: 2,298.83
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
11x previous minute
1.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
11
84.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
6,874.87 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 6875 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (33% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,485.21 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,155.75 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,092.33 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,042.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003593FcBee9C0bD22E167bb10D78590772a9341
Net receiver
Unknown type
982.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
6,874.87 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:24:20 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
643.42 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:23:09 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
1,485.55 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:21:57 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
3,814.78 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:25:31 A.M.
-3 min
14 tx
3,196.26 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:20:46 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate29 tx
22,676.58 QUAI • 42 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:26:42 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
5,005.23 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:19:36 A.M.
+4 min
12 tx
9,946.71 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:27:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,042.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:24:31 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
67.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:24:31 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0037287D2c1251a5528BAE4dB8Bbc9DDEdAC4bA5
Tx: 0x00310055d3124465a0144453245380875d50665d41e7c3fb0668ef9b645c5256
418.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:24:31 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0022C84B3BEFEE6663887eC3f7Ea7d524CF375b4
Tx: 0x00610044cf42b9d105608516056cfc4dc6c34e2a9afc127a8b6f1084858218bb
1,042.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:24:31 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
Tx: 0x0005005ea3f78c72e679ee79185d250aa4cbfc7bea106a20db9f5de3a7729f0b
2.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:24:31 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x007500373fa8805914ecefc5acaa8e4cf566b4c2957dbb2d71eea6bda4d8940a
41.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:24:18 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00368970c78330a484e1F84a4ecFdF4687C75669
Tx: 0x0057007452ad105a94fb51a87de4d2cd37b5f4907251f7f4fbfa0d05dcaef2e7
505.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:24:18 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00226a6d392A35E61F953F09bCb02251491A0d10
Tx: 0x003b006f2ee61f829730882809ffd2ff083cc99eb3798e63bc11e9756acdfb65
311.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:24:18 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001DB0b6A0D124E04C8a4E7a4074E82A0B285d5d
Tx: 0x0072007deee64c9e032349f2e3a07017829c98ec809b193a782937b21aab3841
982.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:24:03 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003593FcBee9C0bD22E167bb10D78590772a9341
Tx: 0x0007003fe79c63f0a3260e91882d8f0e1b075a375bd2b0f9ab746f3adb02e974
231.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:24:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002217a3a2f01C5C84402095E716B4c40b336F31
Tx: 0x001d003ed8d47cc404a647e0829fa01496014b97a43c1c658aa7790105238b9f
131.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:24:03 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001d07ea41085F9eD9cd93c417BA372AbF1164DB
Tx: 0x0062006e2c334ab244fa1d982168ca3717966bda8df8e9f27b7003d1da64374a
839.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:24:03 A.M.
From: 0x003af7Bc3dfCC1EE1D213C286f4457267cDC716c
To: 0x001B524699E78c7499aF00a8b8f6503c562E46AA
Tx: 0x00560065428d7d06871068c4d3b95274a6217258516bff030139c1025e6d0a91
