Spike bucket
08/09/2026, 2:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/09/2026, 2:14:00 A.M. to 08/09/2026, 2:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 775.43
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
775.43 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000957DebcFE933a9EDd1cA81510cB3CEef51963.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 775 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x000957DebcFE933a9EDd1cA81510cB3CEef51963.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/09/2026, 2:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
535.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000957DebcFE933a9EDd1cA81510cB3CEef51963
Net receiver
Unknown type
535.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
207.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Net receiver
Unknown type
207.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
32.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
15 tx
13,693.47 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:13:41 A.M.
-1 min
12 tx
8,584.34 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:12:30 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
775.43 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:14:52 A.M.
+2 min
16 tx
28,314.41 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:16:03 A.M.
-3 min
14 tx
5,483.08 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:11:18 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
5,262.54 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:17:14 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
316.87 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:10:07 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate22 tx
35,542.79 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/09/2026, 2:18:24 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
535.2 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:14:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000957DebcFE933a9EDd1cA81510cB3CEef51963
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
535.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:14:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000957DebcFE933a9EDd1cA81510cB3CEef51963
Tx: 0x001000034427541920519cc4e8f34349e00544acb3a4d74e474478112d4333b7
32.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:14:00 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00144CfE9c001f911d618FE74eC43589be2f6112
Tx: 0x006200288510488c20d5f24251b5a4f990b751e058001d7d97abbe19a0267619
207.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/09/2026, 2:14:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Tx: 0x00560040475e018972b3dc5502ee3c83a361ef3b27887ff8b87e4b2d3c3417c5