Spike bucket
08/08/2026, 4:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/08/2026, 4:05:00 P.M. to 08/08/2026, 4:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
2% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 373.63
Unexplained QUAI: 23,300.61
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
3.7x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
37
Observable rows
3
8.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
55
Asset volume
23,674.24 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 23674 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/08/2026, 4:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
373.63 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
139.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
129.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e14993f0d5Bb98cD611909d4C2cADF25a0Aa6
Net sender
Unknown type
105.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 373.63 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
20,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/08/2026, 4:04:26 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate37 tx
23,674.24 QUAI • 55 addresses
08/08/2026, 4:05:37 P.M.
-2 min
51 tx
6,389.81 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/08/2026, 4:03:14 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/08/2026, 4:06:48 P.M.
-3 min
50 tx
1,617.6 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/08/2026, 4:02:03 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
136.3 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/08/2026, 4:07:58 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/08/2026, 4:00:52 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/08/2026, 4:09:09 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
139.39 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 4:05:18 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
129.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 4:05:18 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0057006033d9b50b551dfff2c3db195228fd1fc7394740e71fcba3badadf36f0
139.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 4:05:18 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00000071f17247c33a4ab8724aa76faa7e9fdf00162ca49a0d81747a1b240c8c
105.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 4:05:18 P.M.
From: 0x003e14993f0d5Bb98cD611909d4C2cADF25a0Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00340072464cf2567db49df648550088caac8f87ba3613e27978fa7b31c1a770