Spike bucket
08/08/2026, 3:31:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/08/2026, 3:31:00 P.M. to 08/08/2026, 3:32:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 102.87
Unexplained QUAI: 19,952.86
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
2.0x previous minute
195x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
20,055.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0024E10f9753FDAAeff4c9c5343599d6b015D827.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 20056 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0024E10f9753FDAAeff4c9c5343599d6b015D827.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/08/2026, 3:31:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
102.87 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0024E10f9753FDAAeff4c9c5343599d6b015D827
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000C7d44853CFA0eDe38668f814fdbc2354793cC
Net receiver
Unknown type
48.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
20,055.72 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:31:28 P.M.
-1 min
30 tx
9,921.61 QUAI • 45 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:30:08 P.M.
-2 min
18 tx
7,727.65 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:28:55 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
102.87 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:32:48 P.M.
-3 min
23 tx
12,516.85 QUAI • 36 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:27:34 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
218.58 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:34:07 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1,698 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:35:26 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate34 tx
25,824.89 QUAI • 43 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:26:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
53.91 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:31:23 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0024E10f9753FDAAeff4c9c5343599d6b015D827
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
48.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:31:59 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x000C7d44853CFA0eDe38668f814fdbc2354793cC
Tx: 0x0009003b458795a43bd1578404c723e5c4a4acad7d0e70b6e035c5e90424849a
53.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:31:23 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0024E10f9753FDAAeff4c9c5343599d6b015D827
Tx: 0x0015001e5f7fe523723bf79a6e78c8daadb802d6fb4bebd7e31257e1e925710f