Spike bucket
08/08/2026, 3:28:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/08/2026, 3:28:00 P.M. to 08/08/2026, 3:29:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,887.16
Unexplained QUAI: 3,840.49
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 12% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
9
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
7,727.65 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00307b9d6B5323F0EEdECa238BC1723cc3CE08D3.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 7728 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00307b9d6B5323F0EEdECa238BC1723cc3CE08D3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/08/2026, 3:28:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,887.16 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00307b9d6B5323F0EEdECa238BC1723cc3CE08D3
Net sender
Unknown type
472.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002cfc437ef6Df2e9eF3f15A2af70ddf4BcF46C8
Net sender
Unknown type
456.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040229c8A405cb5fE47F810C52A04382e0C10b0
Net sender
Unknown type
455.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
Net sender
Unknown type
454.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,887.16 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
23 tx
12,516.85 QUAI • 36 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:27:34 P.M.
+1 min
18 tx
7,727.65 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:28:55 P.M.
-2 min
34 tx
25,824.89 QUAI • 43 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:26:13 P.M.
+2 min
30 tx
9,921.61 QUAI • 45 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:30:08 P.M.
-3 min
27 tx
29,447.43 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
20,055.72 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:31:28 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate16 tx
33,801.31 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:23:40 P.M.
+5 min
2 tx
102.87 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:32:48 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
472.73 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:28:04 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00307b9d6B5323F0EEdECa238BC1723cc3CE08D3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
400.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:28:04 P.M.
From: 0x002a3e5E8fAD443A92BCC5171C5c5699147C4528
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f001f164f3ffb2ca3e4b3dddc0c20da0c0e3c17b61f23daab5ce087fc9e8e
443.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:28:04 P.M.
From: 0x003Ae0bBb0BA9B92C0C6f21C68f34a30D0122402
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0057005149056600db8cb5611f94718ef92df663768f80a939be5f8a68c1b253
454.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:28:04 P.M.
From: 0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0014002c60da763af2afa31765c9af33711ee7bd35081e33047cc462d01a27e4
455.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:28:04 P.M.
From: 0x0040229c8A405cb5fE47F810C52A04382e0C10b0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0060001900419bba1cde2dd484ee2b3157b36f7467ff263e19381e7a2b8a2f27
456.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:28:04 P.M.
From: 0x002cfc437ef6Df2e9eF3f15A2af70ddf4BcF46C8
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00010027bd85ae67da06a8dc18e77bd8150f9b43ffadd4889b8a1d0963102b6a
399.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:28:04 P.M.
From: 0x003b939FDc8EFf896Cab41092F59f053CB00c1Ee
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00060056f5cca30dea51ef93026296a75ab01c3c187941b658b8a820236e361d
387.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:28:04 P.M.
From: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a0048636283834e5cac9a11bed80af1d3c5bf4561b97f1ffffae81d93641e
415.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:28:04 P.M.
From: 0x005bf49274F6F03D3050eF26A1fe0508a2b88CE0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00250021de066c7fff298cd67c8af3ad2891c11008edf45e332d5856b48e3678
472.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:28:04 P.M.
From: 0x00307b9d6B5323F0EEdECa238BC1723cc3CE08D3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a00274012c331664943b2a7b9d59940e66ec05f8a78e9d361d961bfd9c819