Spike bucket
08/08/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/08/2026, 3:22:00 P.M. to 08/08/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
4% coverage
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 32,207.45
Unexplained QUAI: 844,608.64
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
7.3x above local average
58345x previous minute
26x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
6
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
29
Asset volume
876,816.1 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00623f55F93c9D44e3793Bde2C3E87fc5D97cC64.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 876816 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 46
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00623f55F93c9D44e3793Bde2C3E87fc5D97cC64.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/08/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
32,207.45 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00623f55F93c9D44e3793Bde2C3E87fc5D97cC64
Net sender
Unknown type
7,512.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0065C68233b29b90e764A6177d471ed3A25F1e2C
Net sender
Unknown type
6,799.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
Net sender
Unknown type
5,908.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85
Net sender
Unknown type
4,382.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 32,207.45 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate18 tx
876,816.1 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:22:20 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
15.03 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:20:59 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:19:40 P.M.
+2 min
16 tx
33,801.31 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:23:40 P.M.
+3 min
27 tx
29,447.43 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:18:22 P.M.
+4 min
34 tx
25,824.89 QUAI • 43 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:26:13 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/08/2026, 3:17:03 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,512.92 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:22:10 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00623f55F93c9D44e3793Bde2C3E87fc5D97cC64
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
3,637.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:22:10 P.M.
From: 0x0052d26C6706DA740b7F09DB43479142513a4B37
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00360015a2cb7e069cb377b168b5793bc26bae3d3581839b3d94777db0e6581f
3,966.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:22:10 P.M.
From: 0x0025A29636671DE5ca3C812cb7bF4f3FB1A8eB7c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0013000cfd6ab5a6b3d9a21eafd1e7ab885470b6201a117098682ee75df9e45d
7,512.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:22:10 P.M.
From: 0x00623f55F93c9D44e3793Bde2C3E87fc5D97cC64
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c0038ba0ada3b7f7a922d1b59e4611bbf55eda9c1227d2a37f7aeedce4b41
4,382.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:22:10 P.M.
From: 0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0016005b278086ec84a5ee52014f8f109c42a900b8511a9b97002326f9fc2afe
6,799.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:22:10 P.M.
From: 0x0065C68233b29b90e764A6177d471ed3A25F1e2C
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c0017e3d7335e84903a20f19cb203a4ca0c3235112067851a501f6c969f45
5,908.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 3:22:10 P.M.
From: 0x002A89Bd3D270C03a48678D255815076F1d8D788
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b0031da051b8bad088bddb76aeadc3c39f385d47faa74ac79cc47c534083c