Spike bucket
08/08/2026, 2:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/08/2026, 2:09:00 P.M. to 08/08/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
3% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13.05
Unexplained QUAI: 398.37
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
6.5x previous minute
32x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
411.42 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 411 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/08/2026, 2:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
9.79 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA
Net sender
Unknown type
5.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Net sender
Unknown type
4.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
3.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
411.42 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:09:13 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
62.87 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:07:53 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:06:34 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
13.05 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:10:31 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 5 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:11:49 P.M.
-4 min
16 tx
844.24 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:05:15 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:13:08 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,869.65 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:03:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5.28 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:09:58 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
4.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:09:58 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0003002e8865de74363902348ed4f42134b30e0119a54b5a17ab68c95edc6ed9
5.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:09:58 P.M.
From: 0x00673ecBb6b73B2228C33445D9cA88f48D5831DA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000c00021d6d8ac2a4d44ba24d02f79d4b04df52902f91fc9561ce8876cc79b6
3.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:09:10 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x0015006065f05c5eaa4125b14f41425f5d1f93ddf046847a52c4bda841cf83db
