Spike bucket
08/08/2026, 2:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/08/2026, 2:04:00 P.M. to 08/08/2026, 2:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 844.24
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
16
Observable rows
16
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
844.24 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 844 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 16 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/08/2026, 2:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 16 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
844.24 QUAI across 16 visible rows
0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
Net receiver
Unknown type
307.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
148.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
147.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Net receiver
Unknown type
48.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
1,869.65 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:03:56 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:02:37 P.M.
+1 min
16 tx
844.24 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:05:15 P.M.
-3 min
50 tx
1,444.37 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:01:19 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:06:34 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate2 tx
15,629.98 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/08/2026, 1:59:59 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
62.87 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:07:53 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/08/2026, 1:58:41 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
307.68 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:04:37 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
All transfers in this selected minute
16 transactions
48.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:04:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Tx: 0x0065006eda68e2b22e1ac4cdc49e668e75182da77ba7651c39d044d22184a250
20.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:04:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x0032006b4bf981af6a89762430008f6c330442b71d0eb112ad8aa2dda2cec298
4.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:04:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x0063005554822f23fa1926d778bdeb0a7524da9ce34f55c730e2379f5e3cca4c
307.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:04:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
Tx: 0x00300026d0cf13125a9879eb25fff7bd3cb0546ccd1fe27fdf30ffad5b41e2ad
22.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:04:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00186A4a9eED5ec68c319bBe83949c15E7916690
Tx: 0x000b0035a0884b412eac088c20837a6cc65c25acc1c1835a5e854e0ef5be35d2
13.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:04:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Tx: 0x007b0064efbea4abb303d47139210571e0e584349b38c003fc9310d4f9d4c27c
30 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:04:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00110224C6e56a03E9ce4A8c82357fA31360B9cc
Tx: 0x00170011d2bea27d6fdd77586c3933dff9c929bbf14b845007b4146712306b62
5.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:04:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x001700550165084903a0da85ddf2ee7f9c647fc19f29fce6af3cfac0e202da15
16.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:04:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Tx: 0x000f003e08c2959cb6a9f678237414e63e0c063b8ff015866d373bb297823fd5
24.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:04:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x000200761cb007169b5c7560282a37514bc16d6fd032adc9c6dba3f56045d718
5.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:04:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0026556e1Be909a07f299A03f8e78181a1f5C654
Tx: 0x007e0041d8edd72a249b7eb0a33e6c411214b087d0c22a0928610053d6ad54a4
148.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:04:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0001006133c66854293b220eac7bd538241b81a205bd78fca0793ab8eb07d5b5
10.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:04:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x001100385d1175f1bfa08cdf7acecd4c4fba67fb43b0e505e1564bd6d9d5763f
28.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:04:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Tx: 0x0016006f0e7939e42204ca0a253e9255d8f2af90f877a5455a1b7f051ec74655
147.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:04:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x00190073a838ceacd8b3aee28da48a590d092aab16c914d25881ba2181c248f2
11.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:04:37 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Tx: 0x000d005ba45d2ae4c91f6df28626495c5b791acffdc0de9ab1f7f49634bf1d98
