Spike bucket
08/08/2026, 5:24:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/08/2026, 5:24:00 A.M. to 08/08/2026, 5:25:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
28% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 132.89
Unexplained QUAI: 346.92
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
479.81 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x004cfe4A02C435d7E1b071c653d5B82Dc095D75b.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 480 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x004cfe4A02C435d7E1b071c653d5B82Dc095D75b.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/08/2026, 5:24:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (72% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (28%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
129.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004cfe4A02C435d7E1b071c653d5B82Dc095D75b
Net receiver
Unknown type
129.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
2.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
479.81 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/08/2026, 5:24:19 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/08/2026, 5:23:08 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
124.08 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/08/2026, 5:21:55 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/08/2026, 5:25:30 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
20.24 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/08/2026, 5:20:45 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
39,698.41 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/08/2026, 5:26:40 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/08/2026, 5:19:34 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
93.75 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/08/2026, 5:27:51 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
129.98 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 5:24:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x004cfe4A02C435d7E1b071c653d5B82Dc095D75b
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
2.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 5:24:00 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x004a00550c212a817dc6d0dd9de76e645e81bc6a023fdd136f34ea4a44e672a3
129.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 5:24:00 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x004cfe4A02C435d7E1b071c653d5B82Dc095D75b
Tx: 0x002300443466b902c65b251c1fd7cdbc7937059d4dbb899dabbc3b570a4ac290