Spike bucket
08/08/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/08/2026, 2:30:00 A.M. to 08/08/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
14% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,165.07
Unexplained QUAI: 13,384.79
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
3.3x previous minute
6.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
20
Observable rows
7
35.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
15,549.87 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 15550 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/08/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (86% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (14%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,623.22 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,031.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Net receiver
Unknown type
591.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
376.06 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002817Ec732850FD13f9F84698E97402CBe55cAc
Net receiver
Unknown type
333.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
20 tx
15,549.87 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:30:05 A.M.
-1 min
12 tx
4,642.57 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:28:54 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
2,504.55 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:31:17 A.M.
-2 min
13 tx
3,573.48 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:27:43 A.M.
+2 min
15 tx
8,303.48 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:32:29 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate29 tx
22,850.06 QUAI • 39 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:26:31 A.M.
+4 min
17 tx
2,700.35 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:33:41 A.M.
-5 min
6 tx
1,656.64 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:25:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,031.53 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:30:22 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
94.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:30:50 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003835340Da62C918332E647508144EFb394e4c1
Tx: 0x0068002e0a1c8d6ef857924300a6b371b1138ffa273ba57a55d98d4f6d0fd8fc
591.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:30:50 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Tx: 0x00560009f06df23395637ded398faf1d451e6f9c0ac75b6c4bc6c46b72f05b4a
42.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:30:50 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00287044d622f8BBF1c13f28Ec5C14CC9d31253a
Tx: 0x00410002f89732356875b08c8a424cbd0e0c1a6ce19e32ed2f576d43ff143ab1
67.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:30:22 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0037287D2c1251a5528BAE4dB8Bbc9DDEdAC4bA5
Tx: 0x004300720b7bb6126ba47d6d27b8f5d11b142540a96e9e3f86af7954e77512a9
1,031.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:30:22 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C
Tx: 0x003500094bd7da1f84c2b4588f6754d5afc55123e3a1f2ed9efb708fc05c416d
333.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:30:22 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002817Ec732850FD13f9F84698E97402CBe55cAc
Tx: 0x0045006c2c57aad665321da57e37c626bb8b70de52afbd8f958ed0a6d4d3a882
3.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:30:22 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x004e0061c1991807f1393d9211f9df74e2a4c873e5f3dfe6daa8a6f1c9ec111c
