Spike bucket
08/08/2026, 2:13:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/08/2026, 2:13:00 A.M. to 08/08/2026, 2:14:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,050.67
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
6.1x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
12
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
11,357.43 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 11357 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/08/2026, 2:13:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
9,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,999.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
7,016.34 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0005D2FAfAfe852929B40ac78AeD92d638560B1C
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,943.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,543.47 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
15 tx
11,357.43 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:13:23 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
1,854.44 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:12:12 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
1,339.11 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:11:01 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate18 tx
20,298.17 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:14:35 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
90.48 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:09:49 A.M.
+3 min
13 tx
3,485.47 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:15:46 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
936.01 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:08:38 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:16:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,999.06 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:13:36 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
107.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:13:53 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000A33544feAEDCFB71a122927a5Fe3D2B7E8B87
Tx: 0x0002003d2f5a60ed287d6e083e4e5c188efc4659d4281235f58a0f6bf20f9184
5,943.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:13:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0005D2FAfAfe852929B40ac78AeD92d638560B1C
Tx: 0x00110044f2db103900bcd9f057ef06830c919d87ef740b9da950eb819bb476ff
176.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:13:53 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0006b2CF8e6E160E296635446Af36A001000f857
Tx: 0x001200708945aaa11afed055ebd792a7441ba698ccefd7564e145600d9463b99
23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:13:53 A.M.
From: 0x000b98F17ed4507584a7fE6b451D2D2F4e7D7faA
To: 0x00353B7B2aba27CCc1D9915BDd148721660149b9
Tx: 0x005b00693829d5783c235f17e6a48b596322a12d0f0de76d6cd7fd0877ef5654
1,031.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:13:42 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00056e7142B843D4c4049Cb2418259454fFba39f
Tx: 0x00020034bf747fb6da28919637896811be9948eef79024d2b49e518a9eba89d1
64.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:13:42 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x000A08feDE486A4aeb33C0d36f636429F719E210
Tx: 0x00100055311e3f2afbb3ae8f66fba1eb4c2f0a3adb963a77e0debb53cbbdf4e4
681.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:13:42 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00056f3CDE0d646b12E7e38122fEbcC884E8d0c5
Tx: 0x00240067c6b0582f5627aeb80544c0c712597a8713d1248bd6edbbdd66c5c039
390.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:13:36 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00054a786531c76C6FEE8ea225EEA43aEc70643c
Tx: 0x0033003e690e426d33a0a69996180e50a01cda18ea9fffcbdd591070e3498e9d
274 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:13:36 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0008CE4fAfC03955D640E98f9ad27DF0eBf43331
Tx: 0x0063006b86f9f932fdac3147d617631a6d40848c7cfe33346819e2a12aa06367
335.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:13:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00056b626466951B976d6fE839c3C013E6004c0f
Tx: 0x007d002bdbdb9c1cadcc787bbd25fcaba056dc7ba77160af0c5a206310b7be6c
9,999.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:13:36 A.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x000D225CD8dd257DC2480573CE40AE821C4df337
Tx: 0x0019003e075d0d160d50588ff37b61e6c7efd2c55f6266fcd400ddb69c1b17e5
23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:13:36 A.M.
From: 0x006b745748e6c3EE4F1c435c00A89a76866366A0
To: 0x00353B7B2aba27CCc1D9915BDd148721660149b9
Tx: 0x0036004af2959cf312a01b1a7e3e07e8cdc635ea4a89107af8d0d7aeba7b2b3a
