Spike bucket
08/08/2026, 2:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/08/2026, 2:06:00 A.M. to 08/08/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
8% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 124.34
Unexplained QUAI: 1,366.98
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 72% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
17x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
37
Observable rows
4
10.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
47
Asset volume
1,491.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564 • 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1491 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564 • 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/08/2026, 2:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
Net sender
Unknown type
89.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Net receiver
Unknown type
89.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
24.46 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Net sender
Unknown type
14.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
10.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
37 tx
1,491.32 QUAI • 47 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:06:16 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:05:05 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
89.5 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:07:27 A.M.
-2 min
50 tx
1,382.19 QUAI • 59 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:03:55 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:02:43 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
936.01 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:08:38 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate51 tx
1,789.09 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:01:32 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
90.48 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/08/2026, 2:09:49 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
89.5 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:06:42 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
89.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:06:42 A.M.
From: 0x0014E7B8b1954e8988DA0b91850A215B87aD4564
To: 0x0044fE4B2dC1a6F917ec3C1bD2152D47c024a840
Tx: 0x005b0018388cb1cc8d7d868dff87556d4d7fb06ddc768f7257c5276962f27c23
10.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:06:05 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x003067b067Cb41FeF60051d26bA4B5b1AaFb3e53
Tx: 0x006a002d7a771b9411d38d13a8f74063bcc5392a2dbb94bd581c5dee71e29c97
14.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:06:05 A.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x003f00040113e9fc15c04ec7659a7913ed48e46e27a1af13861b30b4e3829266
9.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 2:06:05 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x003a001944a1ac376d344b92b5c55c29c548236baf868a910c5470ebc850889d