Spike bucket
08/08/2026, 1:40:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/08/2026, 1:40:00 A.M. to 08/08/2026, 1:41:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 33,878.27
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
627.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 627 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/08/2026, 1:40:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
33,251.06 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0051382499A45edC023AE738AE60fcF4D02B9deD
Net sender
Unknown type
12,699.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006B2D6e1424bC02db1691625CbdAfCD97f89366
Net sender
Unknown type
627.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
627.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 33,251.06 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
627.21 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/08/2026, 1:40:19 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/08/2026, 1:39:08 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
13,253 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/08/2026, 1:37:56 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate3 tx
33,251.06 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/08/2026, 1:41:30 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/08/2026, 1:36:46 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/08/2026, 1:42:42 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/08/2026, 1:35:36 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/08/2026, 1:43:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.72 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 1:40:44 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
552.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 1:40:44 A.M.
From: 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e006398f4eb60fe6890ff03fe78fd9b5d28bf78936ff364bfb3f99adac69b
12,699.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 1:40:44 A.M.
From: 0x0051382499A45edC023AE738AE60fcF4D02B9deD
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b0073633077e3d5599d269d7bb57e459b1e51a1716294ad8d0e979567df9a
19,998.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 1:40:44 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00700009aa292db4327d7bf7a62513e861ea5363affb3767f9413edda8888fd5
627.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 1:40:03 A.M.
From: 0x006B2D6e1424bC02db1691625CbdAfCD97f89366
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00780066aca9c6bcc639c3081c1577648a11ede150607d25278f7188de44062b