Spike bucket
08/08/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/08/2026, 12:12:00 A.M. to 08/08/2026, 12:13:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,335.55
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
7.2x above local average
10x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
20,335.55 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20336 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/08/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
336.51 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
126.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
Net sender
Unknown type
109.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 336.51 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/08/2026, 12:11:50 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
1,973.7 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/08/2026, 12:10:39 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
20,335.55 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/08/2026, 12:13:01 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/08/2026, 12:14:13 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
23.99 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/08/2026, 12:09:28 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/08/2026, 12:15:24 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/08/2026, 12:08:18 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
191.16 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/08/2026, 12:07:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.04 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 12:12:20 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
100.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 12:12:20 A.M.
From: 0x006A8e4dbE2F2B780e21C8F03daD9253ca9735c1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0031006dc925215319e6156e67878788f283232545f7517600ef86770d72656c
126.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 12:12:20 A.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004100406df1b8bf8a1b2b4cfeb8999e2d95d42ed5d425c757e95b985c363988
109.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 12:12:20 A.M.
From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0079006638e6aa12c4a284e5a689bd6465226388f9ab8c9033696f03d3bf0e53
19,999.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/08/2026, 12:12:20 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x001f0028c9d7834d0c46637fd74a133762c097e26f288074313ce316e9b91814
