Spike bucket
08/07/2026, 4:34:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/07/2026, 4:34:00 P.M. to 08/07/2026, 4:35:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 81,061.67
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
40,530.22 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 40530 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/07/2026, 4:34:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
81,058.67 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7
Net receiver
Unknown type
40,531.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
40,527.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0040D08252f27eFd6e659eE72463cE18AA47C8b8
Net sender
Unknown type
3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Net receiver
Unknown type
3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 40,527.22 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:33:25 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
40,530.22 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:34:35 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:32:14 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
40,531.46 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:35:47 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
19,999.2 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:31:03 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:36:59 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate4 tx
81,428.01 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:29:52 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/07/2026, 4:38:10 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
40,531.46 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 4:34:48 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
40,531.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 4:34:48 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00072CeeB9E282286d3712c0F241BC8710B654B7
Tx: 0x003c0059d929ec3808bda2a0e9e3f57c98e9bd2dc71a54237445b0edfc3a1126
3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 4:34:17 P.M.
From: 0x0040D08252f27eFd6e659eE72463cE18AA47C8b8
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x00180058b0cad427bc83307e4681a9226beff38a3a04af0ec0903f3f7b1ebaa0
40,527.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/07/2026, 4:34:10 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x00720031a3aa94fe8d61bcee8b790e2f1bed021b95f0354b65cb30cb8abe5c08